Since his truce with President Uhuru Kenyatta on this date last year, Opposition leader Raila Odinga has been facing hostility from Deputy President William Ruto's camp.

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The main reason behind this has been the fear that he might break the ruling Jubilee Party and probably divert its course with an aim of scuttling Ruto's bid.

This can be attributed to Raila's history of felling giants and using the collapse to either better himself or gain more relevance, something he began in 2000.

Then the leader of the National Development Party (NDP), Raila reached a truce with then President and his former rival Daniel Moi and merged his party with Moi's KANU bloc.

Two years later he had  managed to weaken the party before leading some members out into the National Rainbow Coalition (NARC).

Consequently, this led to NARC's win in the 2002 presidential elections, via Mwai Kibaki.

By 2006 he had again weakened the party, split it into two and left with his new Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) on whose ticket he controversially lost to Kibaki in 2007.

In 2013 he unsuccessfully ran for the presidency under the Coalition for Reforms and Democracy (CORD), before influencing the construction of the National Super Alliance (NASA) for the 2017 elections, both times being the flagbearer.

It is curious how he managed to convince Kalonzo Musyoka and Moses Wetangula to twice back him in both instances and even included Musalia Mudavadi in 2017.

Ruto's allies are therefore worried that he will either break the party, divert his union with Uhuru whose support he (Ruto) really needs in 2022, or take away Uhuru's support.

Either of these will make Ruto lose and as it appears, Raila is already at work and is actually succeeding.