A row is already brewing between Deputy President William Ruto and forces allied to opposition boss Raila Odinga over alleged plans to impeach the DP ahead of the 2022 polls.
Currently, the impeachment plot and Raila's alleged plan to break the ruling Jubilee Party are viewed as the former Premier's strategies to locking Ruto out of the presidency, a seat he is also most likely eyeing.
However, Raila seems to be getting more and more options if that is indeed his intention, including the apparent division in Central Kenya, following the emergence of two factions.
One faction is rallying behind the DP and the other, led by former Gatanga lawmaker David Murathe and nominated MP Maina Kamanda fighting him.
Ruto will be assured of the presidency if he manages to combine the Rift Valley vote and the Mt Kenya vote but will have it almost impossible achieving the same with the division.
ODM will be happy if the division intensifies, well aware that the vote will be scattered and deny the DP the seat. Whether or not Raila gets a piece of the vote, his win will be guaranteed.
This is with the consideration that Raila narrowly lost to President Uhuru Kenyatta in 2017 when Jubilee had the full support of the Mt Kenya region. A division in the region will definitely give Raila a win.
Raila's camp should, therefore, woo the anti-Ruto faction, and join them in their attacks against the DP.
Ruto's attempts to woo opposition allied regions like the Coast and Western Kenya are very unlikely to succeed and he will most likely not get anything notable from there come 2022.
This is because he has been unable to woo strong leaders and kingpins in the said regions, only settling for MPs and election losers who might not have a major say.
This is most likely one of the plans he is putting in place to top up the numbers in the instance that something happens in Central Kenya since he is guaranteed of the Rift Valley vote.
Also, the more the nation records corruption scandals, the more reasons ODM will have to campaign against the DP. This is another strategy which if well used, can deliver good results.
At a time when Kenyans have unanimously declared war on corruption, the DP would not survive such an onslaught. Actually, only his diehard supporters will proceed to vote him.
Therefore, the Orange party needs not to engage the DP and be seen to be desperate in fighting him and should just sit and let things to worsen on their own before swinging into action.
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