The famous handshake between President Uhuru Kenyatta and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga marked the beginning of 2022 succession politics. 

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In the middle of this game is Deputy president William Ruto who has found himself in a steep political road as a majority of Kenyans and political analysts rules that the handshake locked him out of the promised 2022 endorsement by President Kenyatta and the GEMA community. 

DP Ruto has a single advantage which if used properly then clinching the country’s top seat in 2022 will be a simple task either with or without the endorsement of the GEMA community. 

Ruto is arguably enjoying maximum support from the Rift Valley region which has been known for voting as a block. If he will use this advantage to form a working and strong alliance with other candidates from other parts of the country then he will have high chances of clinching the seat following his popularity and the recent massive ‘tangatanga’ tours across the country. 

However should the man from Sugoi decide to form an alliance with Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka, he will lose the elections even by a big margin. This is because Kalonzo is not enjoying any command in Kamba land votes. 

Machakos governor Dr Alfred Mutua is expected to run for the presidency as he already declared. There have also been calls for Makueni governor Kivutha Kibwana to also vie for the top seat. Both the governors (Mutua and Kibwana) are not on good terms with the Wiper party leader at the moment. 

The Ruto-Kalonzo alliance will therefore majorly depend on the Rift Valley votes which will not be enough to grant the duo any win.

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