A good number of politicians now consider Luo Nyanza as the new swing zone in elections.This follows the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) loss in the recent Ugenya by-election, which has most likely misled presidential aspirants in the 2022 general elections.
This will most likely see the region host a good number of presidential aspirants come 2022.
All will be hoping for a piece of the vote, under the notion that the region has finally decided to come out of area kingpin Raila Odinga's rule.
However, this will not be the case, and will only see aspirants lose their money and time that should have been put elsewhere, especially in the instance that the opposition boss joins the race to take his fifth stab at the seat.
The region has for long stuck to its kingpins, especially when they are vying for presidential seats.
This began with founding Vice President Jaramogi Oginga and has been witnessed severally with Raila, making it laughable for other politicians to expect a portion of the vote.
It is worth noting that on October 26, 2017, the region failed to participate in the repeat presidential election simply because Raila said so, proof that any attempt to get the vote will not be the best idea.
It is also worth noting that Raila has not won the top seat, so he can't be blamed for the government's unfulfilled promises.
He has actually managed to channel some development that way through his friendship with President Uhuru Kenyatta, which has most likely convinced people that he would do more for them if put in power.
The likes of Deputy President William Ruto who is likely to head to the region with that mission will score close to nothing, after doing little to help the region after 10 years at the helm of the government.
Raila has failed to capture the seat despite making several attempts, which could only see voters in the region coming out in unison to vote him in, as his retirement looms, considering his age.
In a region where they say 'remo pek moloyo pii' (blood is thicker than water), the aspect of tribalism is likely to come in, seeing the majority of Luos have always voted for the opposition chief in past elections.
Other candidates will have to struggle to get even five per cent of the vote.
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