It is  almost two years after the 2017 elections and it's fair to say the political temperature related to that elections has cooled down. 

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The handshake between the two leading candidates in that election , President Uhuru and Raila,  helped in cooling the political tension and healing the wounds.

The focus now has shifted to 2022 politics and here is the proof from history that 2019 will make the 2022 political dynamic clear. 

The heating debate on referendum currently seen will help in forming teams for 2022 elections. 

The 2005 referendum will be remembered as a year where Orange Democratic Movement emerged and Raila Odinga as their leader,  it has been argued it was where Raila was at his political peak but that is a debate for another day. 

The team formed during that referendum in both opposing and proposing group become key in 2007 election.

The 2010 referendum , where Ruto Was the leader of those opposing arguably placed him in the political map and in 2013, the referendum was used as main political reference. 

The then Cord group was referred by a section as the team who can handle the new constitution and the Jubilee team was seen as those who opposed the new constitution. 

The likelihood of 2020 referendum will therefore form a basis for 2022 politics.

Those opposing and proposers will form teams which will later be used in 2022, since 2019 is the year where these teams will be formed,  2022 politics will be much clear in 2019.