Deputy President William Ruto's presidential ambition stands a very low chance of realization, basing on a number of reasons.
Ruto seems be a victim-in-waiting of what is appearing to be the reunion of political dynasties.
His biggest and most exposed hurdle is the apparent closeness between President Uhuru Kenyatta and opposition leader Raila Odinga.
Without the support of any of the two leaders, both of whom carry with them a large portion of the electorate, then he will be left with only his community which is not enough to make him the President.
It will be worse should they agree to back a single candidate apart from him, a factor that will automatically send him home.
Also, the more the candidates in the race, the thinner his chances of winning, judging by the Kenyan tribal mode of politicking.
The DP has been trying to make inroads into the Coast and Western Kenya region to better his chances.
However, his efforts will be in vain should each of these regions produce a candidate, meaning that their regions are most likely to back them and shun Ruto.
Finally a collapse of the ruling Jubilee Party is another factor that could deny the DP the top post.
Having heavily invested in the party currently led by President Uhuru Kenyatta, Ruto is anticipating taking over as Uhuru approaches his retirement.
The party has however been shaking lately as a section of members raise suspicion over Raila's entrance.
Should the party collapse, then Ruto will have to spend several years establishing and publicizing his new outfit.
This will eat into the time he would have used to publicize himself and lay out foundations for his candidature, another disadvantage on his side.