The Luo Nyanza region's voting pattern in 2022 will depend on many things, the major one being the candidature of opposition leader Raila Odinga.
The region has for long rallied behind the Orange party chief who is also its kingpin, but his plans for the pending race remains a secret as he is yet to make any revelations.
Should he decide to take another shot at the top seat, then his rivals can be sure to get nothing notable in the area as he will sweep it clean as he has always done.
However, there must be some few people who have different ideas and who will vote in the opposite direction, these likely to come from the Migori part of the region.
This is the only region where the former premier is currently facing rebellion in the name of Governor Okoth Obado who seems to be supporting Deputy President William Ruto's ideologies.
With Ruto having already declared his bid, the DP who has been dangling the development carrot in the region must get something little in the area with Obado's support.
Should Raila avoid the race, then whoever earns his endorsement for the top seat will be the main person, and will go ahead to beat any other person.
This will be regardless of what the people feel of the person now, as it has demonstrated its unwavering admiration and support for Odinga and readiness to obey him.
The same will be the case in the lower seats where Raila's ODM party candidates are the most likely to win except in cases where the voters personally do not approve of them.
But should he decide to remain silent all together, then there will be confusion and vote scattering.
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