Raila Odinga, the NASA leader. (photo/nation)
Two camps have clearly emerged within the National Resistance Movement: one, the moderate camp which is pro-passive resistance and, two, the hardliners who are constantly pushing for a militant agenda which includes, but not limited to, "swearing in" Raila alongside President Uhuru Kenyatta.
The militant camp is arguably led by the self- declared General Miguna Miguna, a one time aide to the Prime Minister Raila Odinga. Johnstone Muthama also falls in this camp with the fiery lawyer James Orengo in the team.
The moderate camp has no clear leader though it is largely thought to be spear-headed by pro-Kalonzo forces.
During the just started protests and boycott of goods and services from certain companies, the Ukambani people seem not to have largely heeded the call, seemingly showing tolerance.
Caught between these two forces is candidate Raila Odinga who seems to have, allegedly, opposed the move to swear him in as it would dent his image internationally.
That Raila is facing a difficult moment is not in doubt. He recently went for a holiday in Zanzibar ostensibly to cool off after the aftermath of his homecoming which resulted in the deaths of a few people.
The question people are asking are: will Raila allow himself to be sworn in? If yes, what will be the consequence of his actions? If he fails to accept to be sworn in, how will his supporters view him? Will he have betrayed the struggle as envisioned by NRM?
Whatever happens, Raila will be squeezed between two granite rocks as he attempts to resuscitate his political life.
You should however not doubt the resilience of the enigma of Kenyan politics to spring a surprise or two.