Political scientist Mutahi Ngunyi has once again released a hypothesis to explain how President Uhuru Kenyatta has always been able to prevail against Cord leader Raila Odinga and why he will still trounce him 2017.
The analyst set off in his theory by establishing that Kenyatta political strategy is still a mystery to many while Raila is more of an open book with most of his strategies becoming easily predictable over the years.
Ngunyi stated that Kenyatta uses the dog whistling method to move beyond the crisis that Raila creates with the most recent one being the Northern Colletor Tunnel project in Muranga which Raila termed as 'Jubilee tunnels of death'.
According to Ngunyi, the dog whistling strategy that Kenyatta uses is a coded political language that is only understood by the target audience.
“Dog whistling is a strategy of the underground. Uhuru is using this as a result of having attended the Moi school of politics in which he learnt that in politics you have to be vague. And the vaguer you are the better it is for you to be able to achieve your intentions because then you can go underground and do what you need to do without being bothered,” Ngunyi said.
He also suggested that the President also uses the lucifer strategy which is a law of opposites, stipulating good attracts evil and vice versa.
Ngunyi stated that Kenyatta uses goodness to attract badness, whereas Raila is using bad to attract good to himself.
In his analysis, the political analyst explained that Kenyatta's plan is working perfectly to his advantage while Raila was losing because he keeps on becoming a captive to the love he is shown.
“Uhuru uses goodness in order to attract badness to himself and the more badness he attracts to himself the more he liberates himself because he feels that he does not owe nobody nothing,” Ngunyi theorises.
He continues: "It is better to attract that which is not desirable and owe nobody nothing than to be captive".
The political scientist observed that another strategy that both parties could be using is the mirror-imaging strategy which is a deception tool to derail the opponent.
In the mirror-imaging tactic, you give the enemy the illusion that you share values with the intention of slowing them down.
"The mirror imaging strategy is about being one with the enemy in order to unsettle them," the analysis notes.
Ngunyi finally insists that the former premier is headed for a hands-down defeat come 2017 General Election if he does not take political affairs seriously.
"In the meantime, because Raila remains casual we hypothesise that Uhuru will beat him in the coming elections," said Ngunyi.