ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi at a past event. [PHOTO/mpasho.co.ke]
ANC leader Musalia Mudavadi and his party think tank have termed Raila Odinga a weak opponent against President Uhuru Kenyatta in the August elections.
According to an ANC strategy document seen by the Star, the best line-up the Opposition can use is a Mudavadi-Kalonzo partnership where the ANC leader will lead from the front and be deputised by Mr Musyoka of Wiper.
Also, the document presented to the NASA Coordinating Committee warns that Jubilee Party is still ahead of NASA as seen from an analysis of data from the latest voter registration data.
The ANC document dubbed 'Crunching Numbers 2017' says that NASA trails Jubilee in IEBC vote count by at least 100,000 votes, with NASA managing 7,868,373 voters as compared to Jubilee’s 7,951,008.
It also says that 4.12 million of these voters are in 10 swing counties.
“This leads us to the conclusions that to use the 2013 elections outcome to determine the NASA 2017 tickets would be to court defeat,” Mudavadi’s team argues.
“He [Raila] hasn’t much space of filling the deficit by either raiding Jubilee strongholds or turning battlegrounds into NASA strongholds,” the strategy paper further asserts.
“Our computation reveals the ticket likely to achieve [these goals] is Mudavadi’s — backed by Raila to reduce depression of turnout in NASA strongholds — and has Kalonzo for running mate to prevent loss of 2013 advantage,” the document concludes.
However, when NASA's 12-member National Coordinating Committee (NCC) voted, eight members endorsed Raila for flag-bearer with Kalonzo the running mate.
Mudavadi was handed a yet-to-be-created Chief Minister post.