Kenya's general election scheduled for 2022 is going to be very challenging in as far as the formation of coalitions is concerned. The competition will be very stiff as many top politicians will be eyeing the top seat which might not augur well for the formation of coalitions.
According to current Kenya's 2010 Constitution, Governors are restricted to only two terms in leading the county government. This means that all those governors who will have served from 2013 to 2022 will be eyeing a higher position, which is the presidential post.
Secondly, in coalitions, a group of leaders come together to agree who will be the flag bearer and what position will be held by all the other stakeholders. It's evident that the possible aspirants in the big seat cannot and are not ready to take other positions besides the presidential position bearing in mind that there are only a few and limited big positions in the government.
Additionally, the experienced politicians who have served in various ministries in the past will be in the competition. In fact, these leaders cannot allow themselves to run for other positions like that of the Deputy President; instead, they will struggle to go head on head leading to many fallouts.
Case in point, Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka will not, possibly, run again as a deputy President under any leader as the president. He has done the same in the past two general elections where they emerged second in the first, leave alone the nullified second election.
On the other hand, the 2013 presidential candidate, Musalia Mudavadi who is a famous political leader from Western Kenya is predicted to be vying for the presidency. He and Kalonzo, therefore cannot belong to one coalition unless one is highly convinced to hold that of the deputy president.
If these few cases are anything to go by, I'm convinced beyond reasonable doubt that it will very hard for Kenyan leaders eyeing the presidential position to come together and form coalitions.
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