The political Odinga family has for a very long time dominated the nation's opposition politics, with the mantle currently lying in the hands of opposition leader Raila Odinga.
Raila is also deemed the unquestioned leader and ultimate spokesman of the Luo Nyanza region, a region that has always fully backed him in his many futile presidential bids.
The case is, however, likely to change should he again vie in the approaching 2022 race, and though likely to still back him, Odinga will not get the region's 100 percent support.
His March 9 truce with his longtime antagonist, President Uhuru Kenyatta, will obviously take away some of his votes, as a section of them consider the move a betrayal.
The reconciliation came at a time when he had popularized himself as the People's President, a new tittle that had been well received by his supporters, whom he later disappointed by technically acknowledging Uhuru's leadership.
His many futile shots at the presidency will as well force his former supporters, who are growing tired of 'throwing away' their votes, to opt for other successful options.
They will, therefore, vote towards another direction, regardless the ethnic bond between them and the leader, provided that they feel being part of the winning team.
Lastly, Odinga has relegated himself before his people by bowing to President Kenyatta courtesy of his new job as a peace ambassador and mediator in the ongoing South Sudan conflict.
This only came after his truce with the president, meaning that he has abandoned his job as the people's leader to become Uhuru's employee and this too will lead to retaliation.
Others include his many new enemies within and outside the National Super Alliance (NASA) and Deputy President William Ruto's planned invasion of his backyard.
Internal opposition from the likes of opposition activist Miguna Miguna and Jubilee Secretary General Raphael Tuju will also obviously take away some votes should he be in the race.