Every indication points out that President Uhuru Kenyatta is on a roll and he will employ every trick in the book to recapture the presidency.
An African incumbent is also never easily defeated as witnessed in most of the African countries.
Just in February this year Ugandan president, Yoweri Museveni not only switched off social media in a bid to cover-up his rigging escapades but he went us far as detaining his arch-rival Kizza Besigye.
Museveni,and Rwandan president, Paul Kagame are Uhuru's close allies in the region,so the duos' advice will come in handy in ensuring Uhuru's grip in the presidency is firmly in control.
President Uhuru loves impunity as evidenced by yesterday's launch of a private party merger in state house as though it was a national event that therefore clearly shows that Uhuru can shut down Kenyan social media if that is what it will take him to win the presidential elections just the way his Ugandan counterpart recently did in Uganda against Besigye.
Uhuru is also endowed with financial resources and grassroots machinery accumulated during his tenure as president that his opposition rivals cannot match.
Age is also in Uhuru's favour since at 52 next year, he will still be youthful and very energetic as compared to his main contender, Raila Odinga will be 72 next year and obviously less energetic.
With the state resources at his disposal,Uhuru has a lot of carrots to dish to his opponents and lure them to his camp and rock any political party as witnessed in the recent resignation of Cords Ababu Namwamba,Dr.Paul Otuoma and John Waluke.
The numerous political delegations to State House also gives Uhuru a head-start among his competitors.They are political meetings disguised as development meetings.Uhuru is not about and will not take a political blow from Cord lying down,Cord, therefore, has no chance of dethroning Uhuru of the presidency.
Another advantage is that Uhuru no longer has the International Criminal Court (ICC) case hanging over his neck, couple with a tribal voting bloc in his Mount Kenya and his Deputy William Ruto's turf of Rift Valley and a few votes from other regions Uhuru will capture the seat,that's why Ruto recently bragged that this time they will win not with 50 plus one votes but they must win with 70 plus one vote.
You should ask yourself a very simple question;if Raila did not defeat Uhuru in 2013 when Raila was a co-principal as Prime Minister in what Raila often called ''Sirikali ya nusu mkate'' what then makes Raila think that he will defeat Uhuru when Uhuru as all the instruments of state power? Let Raila stop deceiving himself and either play the kingmaker and be a statesman or his goose his cooked.